WHAT WOULD CONVERT A BREXITER?
I watched an old post on FaceBook of James O’Brien of LBC Radio today. He was arguing as a prelude to his phone-in that, in the light of what has happened since, that if there was another referendum, the outcome would be overwhelmingly to stay. Brexiters would take the view “I never knew this would happen”.
- The £ would slump so alarmingly
- That imports to industry would therefore be more expensive
- And so too therefore, finished manufactured goods
- That interest rates would be cut
- Thereby exacerbating pension fund deficits
- That hate crimes would rise by 40% etc
O’Brien might think that; I cannot agree less.
I have not met a single Brexiter who acknowledges the damage done and that they were wrong. Not one. Every one takes a post-rationalist view; in other words, they’ve dropped their barrow and invent new theories to explain the facts that have subsequently emerged – the NHS bus, the obstacle of the Law, the devaluation of the £ against the euro and $. “The £ is back at a level it ought to be”, one said to me. “WHAT?”. The value of the pound is a function of investor confidence in it.
But here is the real rub. In order to stand any chance of overturning any new referendum vote we Remainers have to acknowledge and address the issue facing a Brexit voter. Which is this:
You can be wrong about who will win the FA Cup. You can be wrong about the capital of Chile or the height of the Angel Falls. But to be “wrong” about Brexit is to admit you are gullible.
And no-one will.